Those darned natural forces

I’ve often wondered what tactic(s) global warming alarmists would resort to when the data showed that perhaps the earth isn’t warming as much as they’d like. Today, I got my answer.

Natural weather variations have offset the effects of global warming for the past couple of years and will continue to keep temperatures flat through 2008, a study released Thursday said.

But global warming will begin in earnest in 2009, and a couple of the years between 2009 and 2014 will eclipse 1998, the warmest year on record to date, in the heat stakes, British meteorologists said.

Existing global climate computer models tend to underestimate the effects of natural forces on climate change, so for this analysis, Met Office experts tweaked their model to better reflect the impact of weather systems such as La Nina, or fluctuations in ocean heat and circulation.

Problem #1 for global warming alarmists: 1998 is not the warmest year on record to date. [Link] [Link]

In fact, the warmest year on record is 1934. Five of the 10 warmest years on record occurred before World War II. So what was causing global warming before WWII?

Problem #2 for global warming alarmists: “Global climate computer models tend to underestimate the effects of natural forces on climate change.”

Are these the same computer models that are being used to forecast the weather 5, 10, 50, even 100 years in advance — the same forecasts that are being used to frighten the public into believing the Great Global Warming Hoax — the same forecasts that are being used to suggest policies that literally involve spending trillions of dollars of tax revenue, raise taxes, reduce lifestyles, and punish wealthy nations?

Problem #3 for global warming alarmists: “Natural weather variations have offset the effects of global warming for the past couple of years.”

Is it safe to say, then, that nature is more powerful than man? If that is the case, then the global warming alarmists who put this research out just refuted the case for man-made global warming.

Problem #4 for global warming alarmists: “But global warming will begin in earnest in 2009.”

There isn’t a meteorologist alive who can accurately predict the weather two years in advance. Heck, weather forecasters have a tough enough time accurately forecasting the weather a week out. Sure, anyone can issue a forecast two years in advance, but it doesn’t mean it will be right. Yet a global warming alarmist can issue a forecast years ahead of time, and followers will treat that forecast as though it’s infallible, even though hurricane forecasts the last two years, for example, have been a bust.

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